Apr 30

Back in February when we looked at the antepost prices, the Kentucky Derby betting odds were vastly different. Donativum was in the equation, Old Fashioned was the favourite and Dunkirk was into 16/1 from 33s.

Pioneerof The Nile and Chocolate Candy are both shorter prices, but our tip West Side Bernie (pictured) is still 40/1!

I recommend totebet.com for exotics, but let’s take a look to see if the British Bookies are still offering any value in the Kentucky Derby market:

I Want Revenge Silks11/4 I Want Revenge

I Want Revenge is very likely to be sent off as the favourite, after Quality Road pulled out due to foot problems. Jeff Mullins is ‘pretty satisfied’ with stall 13, as he hopes to be up there with the pace.

19 year old Joe Talamo rides the impressive winner of both the Wood Memorial and Gotham Stakes.

Mullins is still chasing his first win in a Triple Crown event, but I Want Revenge could be in the same class as last year’s favourite Big Brown. The jockey booking isn’t a negative, but at the prices I prefer West Side Bernie.

Dunkirk Silks6/1 Dunkirk

Corals opened up there book by going 33/1 about the $3.7 million purchase Dunkirk. He is exceptionally well bred, but the last colt to win the Derby as an un-raced two year old was way back in 1882.

We’ve missed the fancy prices, by 6/1 still seems like a fair bet for the John Magnier-owned colt. He hasn’t won a stakes race, but he was a fair second to Quality Road in the Florida Derby, the race that Big Brown won before winning the first two legs of the Triple Crown.

The track was scraped that day, meaning that the surface was fast. If Quality Road lined up in the Derby, I’d back Dunkirk to reverse that form. Very strong candidate.

Pioneerof The Nile Silks6/1 Pioneerof The Nile

The Pamplemousse was scratched from the Santa Anita Derby, so you can’t read into that form and back Pioneerof The Nile with any confidence. Not certain to handle the dirt and is a lazy horse. The second and third of that race both ran with credit: Chocolate Candy and Mr Hot Stuff. Garrett Gomez rides.

Friesan Fire Silks7/1 Friesan Fire

Has won his last three for trainer Larry Jones, who had last year’s second, Eight Belles. Won the Louisiana Derby by seven and a half lengths, but hasn’t been seen for seven weeks. The last Derby runner to win after a seven week break was Clyde Van Dusen in 1929.

The Louisiana win was over sloppy going, and with showers predicted, punters should keep on the right side of Friesan Fire.

Larry Jones insists that 2009 is his last Derby.

Chocolate Candy Silks14/1 Chocolate Candy

Finished well in second to Pioneerof The Nile and is preferred at more than double the odds. He was only a length behind I Want Revenge in December and represents one of the West Coast’s best chances.

His sire was unbeaten in six starts and his Monday workout, five furlongs in 59.1s, suggests that the dirt surface won’t be an issue.

General Quarters Silks20/1 General Quarters

Claimed at Churchill Downs for only $20,000. He won the Blue Grass at Keeneland, but Hold Me Back can reverse the form of that race.

Desert Party Silks20/1 Desert Party

Second to Regal Ransom in the UAE Derby, but Frankie Dettori’s mount was sent off at 2/5. The colt was quiet after that reverse, but the Godolphin first string is back in form. 

Worldly Manner finished seventh for the stable ten years ago, but Saeed Bin Suroor is more confident this year. Like his stablemate, he may not stay the extra furlong.

Desert Party Silks20/1 Regal Ransom

I fancy Desert Party to reverse the UAE Derby form, but Regal Ransom cannot be discounted. His 16/1 Derby win wasn’t a surprise to his trainer and Alan Garcia retains the ride. He is a keen sort that should be up there with the pace, but he may not stay the trip.

Musket Man Silks25/1 Musket Man

Musket Man was an impressive winner of the Tampa Bay Derby and is sure to run a big race at a tasty price. He was picked up for $15,000 as a yearling and is now attracting some giant offers. I think he’s one to consider for your exactas. Eibar Coa rides.

Papa Clem Silks25/1 Papa Clem

Beat Old Fashioned in the Arkansas Derby in great style and is a lively outsider that could place.

Hold Me Back Silks33/1 Advice

Another one trained by Todd Pletcher. Beat Square Eddie in the Coolmore Lexington Stakes but we like Dunkirk.

Hold Me Back Silks33/1 Hold Me Back

Three wins have come on the synthetic surface, but he has acted well over the dirt in training. Sired by Giant’s Causeway, so should improve with each race.

West Side Bernie Silks40/1 West Side Bernie

Ran two solid races from poor draws in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile and then in the Holy Bull Stakes. He also finished a creditable second to I Want Revenge in the Wood Memorial, and certainly wasn’t flattered – he had to race four wide on the home turn.

Work rider Stewart Elliott is on board, who won the Derby in 2004 on Smarty Jones. Rail draw is the only negative.

Hold Me Back Silks50/1 Mr Hot Stuff

Third in the Santa Anita Derby and won’t trouble the market leaders.

Summer Bird Silks66/1 Summer Bird

Only three career starts, all on fast tracks. Pass.

Atomic Rain Silks100/1 Atomic Rain

Has only won a maiden and I think that owners George and Lori Hall have a great chance with West Side Bernie.

Flying Private Silks100/1 Flying Private

Needs to break quickly from Big Brown’s stall (20) to have any kind of chance. He is sired by a Derby winner and the trainer has won the Derby four times.

Join In The Dance Silks100/1 Join In The Dance

Todd Pletcher also has Dunkirk, but Join In The Dance is preferred to continue his record for having the last horse in each of the last three Derbys.

Mine That Bird Silks100/1 Mine That Bird

Fourth in the Sunland Derby – no chance.

Nowhere To Hide Silks100/1 Nowhere To Hide

Another horse that only just scraped in. Not one to consider for your exactas and trifectas.

Recommendation:

1. 40/1 West Side Bernie (Blue Square, Corals, Ladbrokes)

2. 6/1 Dunkirk (Betchronicle)

3. 25/1 Musket Man (Bet365, Corals, Sporting Bet)

Already Recommended:

1pt ew @ 40/1 West Side Bernie (Bet365)

Prices correct as of 30 April 2009.

bookies.com is your best bet for comparing international horse racing odds:

Kentucky Derby Betting

Melbourne Cup Betting

Ascot Gold Cup Betting

Apr 28

This Sunday’s 1000 Guineas at Newmarket has had a hot favourite in the shape of Rainbow View for some time now. Fantasia is also in the same ownership. but heads for the Longchamp equivalent.

I’m inclined to oppose these short-priced favourites in big fields, but Rainbow View has everything going for her and should win this easily.

Bookies Blog is not here to tell you to back a favourite, we want to find tasty outsiders, like our recent 16/1 winner Hennessy.

Some punters will think that she is still value at odds-on, but she won’t be sent off as short as Crucifix in 1841 at 1/10!

The Irish have a strong hand, and Sky Bet go 7/2 about an Irish trained winner.

white, emerald green hoop5/4 Rainbow View

Favourites have won the last two runnings of the 1000 Guineas: 11/4 Natagora in 2008 and 5/4 Finsceal Beo in 2007. The John Gosden yard have hit the ground running this year, with big prizes going to Expresso Star, Debussy and Mafaaz.

As for Rainbow View herself, she is unbeaten in four starts. She beat Fantasia by two and a half lengths at Ascot, who was an impressive winner of the Group 3 Nell Gwyn Stakes this month.

The only concern for the Dynaformer filly is that she likes to be held up. She has the class to scythe the field down.

Skybet go 5/1 that she wins by five lengths or more, which is an insult to the opposition.

purple and yellow check, diabolo on sleeves, checked cap5/1 Serious Attitude

As much as I rave on about Richard Hills and Kevin Manning, Pat Smullen is still my favourite flat jockey.

Serious Attitude was wintered well and Rae Guest thinks that she’ll get the mile. She was snapped up for just 7,500 guineas but has already earned £158,000 in prize money.

5/1 is a very tempting price – Natagora also won the Cheveley Park Stakes before taking the 1000 Guineas.

white, purple stripe, check cap12/1 Cuis Ghaire

Jim Bolger won this with Finsceal Beo in 2007, and the betting suggest that Derby-winning jockey Kevin Manning will be on Cuis Ghaire on Sunday. The stable had a fantastic 2008 with Lush Lashes and New Approach.

Cuis Ghaire didn’t impress me when winning the Albany Stakes at Royal Ascot last year, but that was over six furlongs. She can be excused her two subsequent defeats, and is taken to serve it up to the hot favourite.

royal blue, royal blue cap, red star16/1 Lahaleeb

The Mick Channon filly won the Dubai Duty Free Stakes at Newbury, and will be ridden by Darryll Holland again on Sunday. She is tough, but isn’t the biggest filly in the field. Will like the extra furlong, but hard to see her reversing the Doncaster form with Rainbow View. Very slim place chance at best.

royal blue, white epaulets, striped cap20/1 Ghanaati

Very well bred out of Giant’s Causeway, but she played up before hacking up in her Kempton maiden. Barry Hills has been in stunning form this year but punters should wait to see what the market thinks. Has been backed at 300/1 on Betfair.

royal blue, white epaulets, striped cap20/1 Shimah

Will like the ground but was beaten fair and square by Again last year. Kevin Prendergast thinks that she has trained on and is a leading contender.

royal blue, orange disc, striped sleeves & cap25/1 Heart Shaped

Aidan O’Brien only has Heart Shaped in the field, who missed out on Breeders’ Cup glory by a nose. She was beaten by Maoineach on her reappearance over seven furlongs, but should do better over a mile. The stable has had a quiet start to the year, which is a concern for backers.

white, red sash, red and white striped cap25/1 Nashmiah

Some pundits believe that Nashmiah prefers the polytrack. Jamie Spencer reports her to be in ‘great form’ but despite winning the Spring Cup at Lingfield, I can’t see her beating Rainbow View.

royal blue, orange disc, striped sleeves & cap25/1 Again

Disappointed in the Prix Marcel Boussac (14th) but has a Group One to her name. More of an Oaks type and can be backed at 16/1.

maroon25/1 Sariska

An eye-catching fourth in the Dubai Duty Free Stakes, she wants further. Probably lines up in the Musidora next. 16/1 for The Oaks.

purple, pink cross belts, purple sleeves, pink stars33/1 Super Sleuth

Likes soft ground and still a maiden.

royal blue50/1 Devotee

Frankie Dettori rides Devotee for Godolphin, who have only had one winner in the UK this year. Turned over at 1/3 in the UAE Guineas and is a quirky sort. 50/1 is a very reasonable price though.

white, purple stripe, check cap50/1 Maoineach

Beaten favourite (9/4) in the Dubai Duty Free Stakes. Stable is hotter on Cuis Ghaire.

royal blue, red epaulets, striped cap50/1 Damaniyat Girl

Beaten seven lengths by Fantasia last time out and hard to see her making the frame.

royal blue, orange disc, striped sleeves and cap66/1 Pursuit Of Glory

Should make a good three year old, and the manner in which she stayed on behind Serious Attitude in the Cheveley Park makes her an interesting prospect over the mile. Should be a shorter price and was hampered in the Breeders’ Cup.

Recommendation:

1pt win @ 5/1 Serious Attitude (Ladbrokes, Boyles, Sporting Bet)

1pt win @ 12/1 Cuis Ghaire (Corals)

Prices correct as of 28 April 2009.

bookies.com is the best place to compare antepost horse racing odds:

Stan James 1000 Guineas Betting

Epsom Oaks Betting

Stan James 2000 Guineas Betting

Epsom Derby Betting

Kentucky Derby Betting


Apr 27

We were on the money last weekend, selecting 16/1 Hennessy as our bet for the Bet365 Gold Cup. Hennessy was a great example of antepost betting value, because AP McCoy’s mount was sent off at 13/2!

And so to the flat season, we have the Stan James Guineas weekend coming up at Newmarket. The majority of prices are sure to be shorter on Saturday, so today is the best day to have a wager.

The 2000 Guineas is the first ‘classic’ of the season, which saw a thrilling finish last season between Henrythenavigator and New Approach.

Aidan O’Brien has won five of the last eleven runnings of this race over the Rowley Mile.

royal blue, yellow sash7/2 Delegator

At 7/2 we have to oppose the Brian Meehan-trained Delegator. At Bookies Blog, we do well to steer clear of favourites, with the exception being Expresso Star

Delegator won the Craven Stakes impressively, but faces much tougher opposition if he takes his chance on the firmer ground this Saturday. The market support suggested that Delegator was better than when fifth in last year’s Dewhurst.

In any case, Jamie Spencer likes to come from behind, so you can almost guarantee that the odds will get bigger in-running. If you’re a favourite backer, I’d look to bet at odds of at least 8/1 during the race.

dark blue7/2 Rip Van Winkle

The 6/4 favourite disappointed in the Dewhurst Stakes, which looks like the key 2000 Guineas trial. Johnny Murtagh gave him an easy ride, but he ran on with credit at the end. It looked like a schooling, but that won’t console favourite backers! Should fare better.

Rip Van Winkle was 10/1 last month, but Kieren Fallon prefers Mastercraftsman.

purple, white seams, striped sleeves, purple cap9/2 Mastercraftsman

Will stay the mile and is a tough colt but Murtagh opts for Rip Van Winkle.

The Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere probably came after a tough campaign, so he can be excused his 4/9 reverse. He’ll like faster ground and the form of the Phoenix Stakes looks exceptional, where he beat Bushranger and Art Connoisseur over six furlongs. Every chance if ridden handily. 

red, white sash, royal blue cap9/1 Evasive

Sir Michael Stoute is another trainer with a great record in this race, and he thinks that Evasive holds a strong each-way chance. He worked well over seven furlongs with Ryan Moore and will certainly be shorter than 10/1 on the day. 

The Horris Hill Stakes isn’t a strong Guineas Trial, but winning jockey Christophe Soumillon was very happy with Evasive’s win.

yellow, purple cap, yellow star12/1 Sea The Stars

The son of Cape Cross ought to do better over further, and is generally a 10/1 chance for the Derby. John Oxx might decide to wait for the Irish 2000 Guineas, in which case he won’t be 20/1 – currently available at Ladbrokes.

green, pink sash and cap, white sleeves14/1 Cityscape

Takes the same route as the 2007 winner, Cockney Rebel (25/1). That means we can’t afford to discount Cityscape on the basis that he hasn’t appeared in a Group One race before.

Beaten one length by Vocalised in the Greenham Stakes, but he wasn’t race fit. Seven furlongs may have been too sharp.

yellow, purple stripe, check cap14/1 Gan Amhras

Jim Bolger runs Intense Focus at Longchamp. Gan Amhras beat the Dewhurst winner in the Goffs Million, but will be seen to better effect over the mile. He is Bolger’s Derby horse, and the Galileo colt could be in the same league as New Approach.

royal blue, white epaulets, striped cap20/1 Ouqba

Supplemented by Barry Hills at a cost of £30,000. His son Richard Hills (pictured) rides the impressive winner of a listed Newmarket contest over seven furlongs. May not stay the mile.

royal blue, emerald green chevron, armlets and cap22/1 Lord Shanakill

Lord Shanakill and Finjaan were involved in a three way photo finish in the Dewhurst, so at bigger prices they should both be considered.

Lord Shanakill has been placed in some cracking two year old contests but has never raced over a mile before. Completed a good piece of work at Ripon the other day and Jim Crowley will be on board. 

royal blue, white epaulets, striped cap33/1 Finjaan

Backed over the weekend from 33/1 into 25s. The market support is crucial and Finjaan should run a big race, but Richard Hills rides 20/1 Ouqba for his father. With doubts over the market leaders, it is no wonder that punters are looking towards the talented outsiders.

Never raced beyond seven furlongs, but stayed on well in the Dewhurst. Has been working well and trainer Marcus Tregoning is excited.

royal blue33/1 Ashram

Beat the below-par Wingwalker at Newmarket in October, who has since died. Ted Durcan was happy with the last workout and Godolphin had the option of running Shaweel.

red, white cross belts, red sleeves, white stars, red cap, white star50/1 On Our Way

The Henry Cecil trained colt has some good two year old form and is a course and distance winner.

white, emerald green star, emerald green sleeves, white stars, white cap, emerald green star50/1 Monitor Closely

Perhaps better suited to ten furlongs.

maroon and white (quartered), light blue sleeves, white cap66/1 Zafisio

Paul Blockley won a Group One at Saint Cloud with Zafisio last year, but he will prefer softer ground. 

red, emerald green triple diamond, armlets and diamond on cap66/1 Pure Poetry

Third to Delegator last time out and hard to see the form being reversed.

white, royal blue hoop, diabolo on sleeves, royal blue cap200/1 Imperial Guest

Is working well at home and won’t have any problems with the ground. Although he finished last in the Craven, he could be the one to pull off a Stubbs Art, third last year at 100/1.

royal blue, light blue stars on sleeves250/1 Ocean’s Minstrel

His last win came in a poor listed event.

Recommendation:

2pts each way @ 9/1 Evasive (Stan James, 3 places, 1/4 odds)

1pt win @ 25/1 Gan Amhras (Victor Chandler)

Also:

2pts win @ 20/1 Sea The Stars (Irish 2000 Guineas, Ladbrokes)

bookies.com is the best place to compare antepost horse racing odds:

Stan James 2000 Guineas Betting

Stan James 1000 Guineas Betting

Epsom Derby Betting

Irish 2000 Guineas Betting

Apr 25

Martin Lel can be backed at 2/1 to win a third successive London Marathon, but the outsiders have been nibbled at in the mens betting market this week. Lel has the course record but punters are concerned that he may be nursing a hip injury. 

The 30 year old Kenyan made little appeal at 6/4, but I am tempted now that the bookies have pushed him out to 2/1. 

Sammy Wanjiru can be backed at 11/4 with Ladbrokes. He broke the Olympic Marathon record in Beijing last year and it’s reported that he’s targeting the world record on Sunday. An obvious alternative to the favourite. 

Each-way backers are looking towards the likes of 7/1 Tsegay Kebede and 9/1 Zersenay Tadese to fill their pockets. The latter won bronze in Athens over 10,000m.

The betting story must be Jaouad Gharib, who has been well supported into 10/1 from 16s. The Moroccan athlete only began to compete seriously at the age of 22 and got silver in Beijing last year. 

The womens race has a similar betting complexion, with Irina Mikitenko installed as the 2/1 jolly. She won last year’s event, but pulled out of Beijing. 

Mara Yamauchi has a degree in PPE from Oxford University, and is Britain’s best chance at glory at 25/1. She was 22 seconds off a Beijing medal, and has a realistic place chance this Sunday.

6/1 looks a generous price for Catherine Ndereba, who has won 18 out of the 21 marathons that she has competed in.

Punters are smashing into Martha Komu, who is 40/1 from 66/1. Ladbrokes and Paddy Power are running scared at 14/1. She won last year’s Paris Marathon and was a surprise inclusion in Kenya’s Olympic team. She finished fifth, so deserves to be a shorter price than Yamauchi. 

Compare London Marathon odds at bookies.com:

London Marathon Mens Winner Betting

London Marathon Womens Winner Betting

Apr 24

Corals have just opened up some extra Royal Ascot 2009 antepost markets, including the Kings Stand Stakes and Golden Jubilee Stakes.

The antepost value is only going to be around for a few days, so we simply must take advantage soon.

Stan James are best-priced for Yeats to win a fourth Ascot Gold Cup at 2/1, but Corals’ 12/1 about Kasbah Bliss is my idea of decent each way value. He disappointed in the World Hurdle, but has shown great flat form at Longchamp. Francois Doumen’s star is available at 6/1 for next year’s World Hurdle, but Cheltenham isn’t his favourite course.

Yeats may take the headlines for the Ballydoyle team, but I cannot wait to see the Hungarian sprinter Overdose (pictured) on English turf.

The four year old star is unbeaten in twelve starts and was the moral winner of the farcical Prix de l’Abbaye last year.

The Budapest Bullet will be seen in the Temple Stakes at Haydock, by which time his Royal Ascot antepost value will be long gone.

Overdose was bought for just two thousand guineas in 2006, but is already attracting offers of over five million euros. This summer he will stay with Amanda Perrett and will be partnered by the arrogant Christophe Soumillon.

The front runner is 3/1 for the 5f King’s Stand Stakes and 4/1 for the 6f Golden Jubilee Stakes. The double with Corals pays a giant 19/1, which will do me nicely this summer. Forget the going or the draw – Overdose is a class act.

Choisir was the last horse to do the double in 2003.

May 23 Update: Sadly Overdose will miss Royal Ascot 2009. He will be given time to recover from a foot injury. Corals laid a $5000 bet from Hungary on the Overdose double.

3pts Royal Ascot Antepost Double (Corals: Pays 19/1)

3/1 Overdose (King’s Stand Stakes)

4/1 Overdose (Golden Jubilee Stakes)

bookies.com is the best place to compare antepost horse racing odds:

Bet365 Gold Cup Betting

Ascot Gold Cup Betting

Lockinge Stakes Betting

Newmarket 1000 Guineas Betting

Newmarket 2000 Guineas Betting

Epsom Derby Betting

Apr 23

Yesterday saw Roy Keane backed into 1/3 from 14/1 with Sky Bet for the Ipswich job. He held his first press conference as the new coach, and the bookies are already taking bets on how he fares in the Championship next season.

Totesport go 4/1 that Ipswich are promoted next season, something which Jim Magilton failed to acheive in his three years at the club.

Victor Chandler are taking on Roy Keane’s new side, offering 18/1 for Ipswich Town to win the Championship Title in 2010.

If you think that Keane’s mission will take longer than a season, you can take totesport’s 6/4 that Ipswich are promoted by the start of the 2011/2012 season. That’s if you don’t lose your betting slip down the side of the sofa by then.

Sky Bet go just 1/4 that Ipswich finish in the top half next year, but offer a generous 25/1 about them being relegated.

Keane is just 4/9 to see out his contract with Totesport.

bookies.com conveniently compares all football odds in one place – so make sure you always get the best available price!

Next QPR Manager Betting

Championship Promotion 2009 Betting

Championship Relegation 2009 Betting

Championship To Reach Playoffs 2009 Betting

Apr 22

Last night was the second time in a week that Rafa Benitez’s Liverpool have been involved in a thrilling 4-4 draw.

Who’d have thought that lightening would strike twice? A Paddy Power punter in Leicester.

The Liverpool fan had already netted £12,500 last week, having put £25 on the correct score at 500/1. 

Paddy Power typically offer huge odds on the crazy scorelines, but they are reeling from the two results. In total they have lost a staggering £750,000.

The Leicester punter could’ve checked bookies.com beforehand to see that Paddy Power were best priced again last night for the 4-4 draw.

This time he had £57.64 at 500/1 for the Liverpool – Arsenal clash, which paid out £28,887.

Tonight’s FA Cup Final taster between Chelsea and Everton offers the home side a great chance to catch up in the title race. Chelsea are currently 16/1 with Sky Bet.

Paddy Power have cut the odds on another 4-4 draw from 500/1 into 250/1, meaning that Bet365 are best-priced at 300/1.

bookies.com conveniently compares all football odds in one place – so make sure you always get the best available price!

Chelsea v Everton Match Betting

Chelsea v Everton Correct Score Betting

FA Cup Winner 2009 Betting

Apr 21

Ladbrokes go 4/1 that Alistair Darling says ’sorry’ at anytime during tomorrow’s budget speech, but all us cynics know that the real odds ought to be more like 100/1! That said, ’sorry’ has been backed in from 20/1.

The ‘to say anytime’ market is always fun to look at, but this year the bookies are even offering odds on the colour of the Chancellor’s tie.

Red is the 7/4 favourite, but will Darling stay loyal to his Party’s colours? Blue is a 3/1 chance, but I like the prospect of pink at 5/2.

He wore purple last year, which we can safely discount at 6/1. Is Darling’s fashion sense as bad as his grip on the economy? Brown is 33/1 with William Hill! 

The Chancellor is expected to extend the stamp duty holiday on homes below the £175,000 threshold, meaning that 1/6 is an attractive price for him to say ’stamp duty’. ‘Climate change’ is also easy money at 1/5 as Darling will try to justify spending his way out of the recession.

Paddy Power go 4/6 that a rise in income tax is announced and 1/3 for an increase in beer duty.

bookies.com compares political betting odds online:

The Budget 2009 To Say Anytime Betting

The Budget 2009 Tie Colour Betting

The Budget 2009 Length of Speech Betting

Apr 21

This Saturday sadly marks the end to a cracking season of jumps racing. Ruby Walsh’s seven Festival winners and Mon Mome’s 100/1 National shock will be remembered for years to come.

The ground at Sandown Park will probably be too quick for Master Minded to take his chance in the Celebration Chase this weekend, but he could be supplemented for Punchestown.

Instead punters can look forward to the 3m5f Bet365 Gold Cup Chase at 3.10pm – a race that boasts previous winners Arkle, Mill House and Desert Orchid.

Monkerhostin sprang a 25/1 shock in the 2008 edition, becoming one of only two winners to win the race with a rating higher than 150 since Dessie.

We’ll be looking for runners who’ll like the quick ground, like Scottish National winner Hello Bud.

black and white (halved), red sleeves and cap6/1 Hoo La Baloo

Beaten four and a half lengths by Laskari in the Blindley Heath Country Show Handicap, but Paul Nicholls has been preparing for this race. The two meet off the same mark on Saturday, but Hoo La Baloo will be sent off as the market leader for the champion trainer.

He finished 3rd last year and loves Sandown. However, at that short price, we are inclined to oppose him. Stan James are ducking the favourite at 5/1.

The Bet365 Gold Cup usually comes as an afterthought for horses that have disappointed recently.

light blue and royal blue diabolo, light blue sleeves and cap7/1 Lacdoudal

Beat Eric’s Charm in the 2006 edition of the race off an official rating of 152. The Hobbs yard are in great form, but Lacdoudal has been poor this season. His only place came in a weak race at this course, but connections will be hoping that he still has a big prize in him.

If he can recapture his old form, he could be very well handicapped indeed.

yellow, emerald green seams, green cap12/1 Church Island

Jumped well to finish second in the Irish National, and could maybe have caused a 50/1 upset if the final fence wasn’t omitted.

Only up 2lbs in the handicap and obviously acts on the quick ground. Denis O’Regan rides.

emerald green, light blue cross belts, striped sleeves12/1 Gone To Lunch

Flew home in the Scottish National to finish second under AP McCoy, but that race was only last weekend. Last year’s Scottish National winner Iris De Balme managed to stay on into fourth.

yellow, orange stars, armlets and stars on cap12/1 Bowleaze

The Robert Alner yard has been in stunning form recently, but Bowleaze may just be found out in the last half mile. Two wins from three Sandown starts.

mauve and pink check, white sleeves, pink cap14/1 According To John

Good comeback at Sandown in January, but failed to build on that at Aintree. Wants slower ground.

royal blue, white seams, red cap14/1 Oodachee

Ran with credit in the Kim Muir and then put in a good second in the Topham. David Casey should be on board and Oodachee will have no problems with the fast ground.

Has never won beyond three miles, and may not stay the trip.

mauve and purple diabolo, purple sleeves, mauve armlets and diamond on purple cap16/1 Always Waining

Finished 15 lengths behind Oodachee in the Topham Chase and he acts on good ground. Prone to the odd error and may not be good enough for this field.

black and white check, yellow sleeves, black and white quartered cap16/1 Hennessy

In from 40/1, Carl Llewllyn’s eight year old is my idea of a good bet in this race. He has only had three starts over fences but put in a good show in the four mile race at the Festival. Arguably could have won if it hadn’t been for his jumping. It may be worth having a bet in running if he takes well to the first few fences on his Sandown debut.

light blue, orange chevrons, light blue sleeves and cap16/1 Roll Along

The Gold Cup sixth needs good ground, which he should get. If not, the Guinness Gold Cup remains an option at Punchestown. Top weight (11st 12lbs) would be a massive ask, so I’d prefer to chance something less exposed at an even bigger price.

royal blue, red diamond, red and royal blue diabolo on sleeves, red cap, royal blue diamond16/1 Kilbeggan Blade

The Tom George trained gelding was pulled up in the National, but beat Mon Mome by four lengths in January.

He has won both of his Sandown starts over this distance, including the London National in December. Ground shouldn’t be a worry but he has never won a race in April.

red, white spots and sleeves, black cap16/1 Briery Fox

Backed into 16s from 25/1 this week, but jockey Mark Bradburne will be praying that Roll Along is withdrawn to get into the handicap. The eleven year old Ascot winner likes to come from behind and could place on Saturday.

dark blue, pink epaulets and star on cap18/1 New Little Bric

Paul Nicholls’ second string on the jockey bookings. Beat The Package in the Newbury Gold Cup in February.

dark blue, white seams, dark blue sleeves, white cap20/1 Laskari

Pulled up in the Racing Post Chase, but finished a good second to Mr Boo at Lingfield last time out. Laskari likes fast ground and his recent conqueror finished a creditable third under a penalty in a Grade 2 Cheltenham handicap last week. Each way claims.

pink and grey diamonds, pink cap20/1 Darkness

Rated 151, so the stats are against this year’s Grand National 13th. The ten year old could end up with top weight, but may be better suited by this trip. Place chance.

white, light blue spots, light blue cap25/1 Oscar Park

Pulled up last time out (9/2) in a Veterans’ Chase won by Briery Fox. 2008 Grand National winning jockey Timmy Murphy is on board.

yellow, purple hoops and armlets25/1 Golden Flight

Looks a big price to me, despite falling at the first fence in the National. Nicky Henderson’s French import will be under-bet with the ‘F’ next to his name on the racecard. Auteuil form with the exceptional Mid Dancer reads well and it will be interesting to see what the market thinks.

orange and royal blue diabolo, orange sleeves and cap25/1 Pretty Star

Liam Treadwell rode Pretty Star in the race before the National. This one’s out of the handicap, but Venetia Williams is respected. I prefer stable-mate Zacharova.

dark green, white cross belts, hooped sleeves, white cap25/1 Zacharova

Out of the handicap as things stand, but Venetia Williams’ gelding could go off 10 stone if Roll Along is scratched. In which case, last week’s Cheltenham winner would be sent off at around the 10/1 mark.

Won at Sandown in February, and is a good value bet at 25s.

emerald green and yellow (quartered), white sleeves and cap40/1 Sherwoods Folly

Not capable of winning.

royal blue, red cross belts, striped sleeves, hooped cap50/1 Verasi

Pulled up in four of his five runs this season. Found to be lame in a race won by Mon Mome – ideally needs softer ground than this.

maroon and beige diabolo, diamonds on sleeves, maroon cap, beige diamond150/1 Dunbrody Millar

Age is catching up. Would be another shocker for punters!

Recommendation:

1. Hennessy 16/1 (Betfred, Ladbrokes, Boyles etc.)

2. Laskari 20/1 (Bet365)

3. Zacharova 25/1 (Sporting Bet, Hills)

Prices correct as of 22 April 2009.

bookies.com is the best place to compare antepost horse racing odds:

Bet365 Gold Cup Betting

Lockinge Stakes Betting

Newmarket 1000 Guineas Betting

Newmarket 2000 Guineas Betting

Epsom Derby Betting

Apr 20

It’s a bit early to talk about the 128th FA Cup Final between Everton and Chelsea, but there is no better time to find a value bet.

I’m not referring the the FA Cup Winner market, which is unattractive from a betting point of view. If you had a wager before Manchester United were knocked out, then hats off.

Everton were 33/1 shots at the beginning of the year to crash the Big Four party, but are now generally available at 7/4 to lift the trophy on 30 May.

Toffees supporters would probably get a better run for their money with 4/1 in the 90 minutes betting, but 17/2 for Everton/Everton in the HT/FT market is a good trade if Everton open the scoring – a 7/4 chance.

Chelsea are a stand-out 10/11 to win in 90 minutes with Sky Bet, but the treble could be a better value bet at 66/1 with William Hill. 

At this early stage, the betting value lies with the 0-0 scoreline. The bore draw is 17/2 with Victor Chandler, which simply must be backed.

The last two Wembley finals have finished 1-0, but the surface has been criticised for being ’spongy and dead’. The surface and the pressure of the occasion make the 0-0 quite a likely result.

Sir Alex Ferguson wants the FA to improve the surface, but thankfully we won’t have to put up with his ranting before the Final. In the week preceding the FA Cup Final there are three Play-Off Finals.

We recommended the bore draw in the Carling Cup Final at 10/1, as it tends to be under-bet.

I’d still consider the scoreline if the best price available was 5/1, but when you compare odds online, the punter can find better value.

Following Man U’s exit from the competition, they are now 5/2 to win a quadruple.

bookies.com is the best place to go to compare FA Cup odds:

FA Cup Winner 2009 Betting

FA Cup Final 2009: Chelsea v Everton Match Betting

FA Cup Final 2009: Chelsea v Everton Over/Under Betting

FA Cup Final 2009: Chelsea v Everton HT/FT Betting

FA Cup Final 2009: Chelsea v Everton Correct Score Betting

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