
Here are the runners for the 2010 John Smiths Grand National, which will be run at 4:15pm on Saturday 10 April at Aintree. It will be screened live on BBC1 in High Definition (HD) for the first time. The trip is a gruelling four miles and four furlongs and the going will be ‘good to soft’. Last year’s hero Mon Mome bids for a repeat win, but there are plenty of other runners worthy of a punt on Saturday afternoon.
7/1 Big Fella Thanks
Finished sixth last year as a novice, and looked in fine order when winning the Raymond Mould Supporting Greatwood Gold Cup Handicap Chase at Newbury. After that win he shot up the betting into 10s from 20s, but owner Harry Findlay hasn’t yet backed his runner.
The jockey booking of Ruby Walsh is a massive positive given that he could have chosen stablemate Tricky Trickster. Big Fella Thanks could be well backed on the day, but Paul Nicholls has sent out a shocking total of 44 losers in this race….
12/1 Mon Mome
Last year’s 100/1 shock winner was a dream result for the bookies, but this year he is bound to attract more money. He completed the course in 2008 aswell so clearly loves the place, and was given a great ride by the young Liam Treadwell. The dismal record of French-bred chasers was emphatically reversed by Mon Mome’s heroics.
The last horse to win back-to-back Nationals was Red Rum, but Mon Mome finished a gallant third in Imperial Commander’s Cheltenham Gold Cup. The worry for backers is that he has gone up 7lbs for last year’s success, but there could be more to come.
14/1 Black Apalachi
Won the 2008 Becher Chase at Aintree over the perilous National fences, but ideally needs more rain to fall before the race.
14/1 The Package
Jockey Timmy Murphy has chosen 2008 winner Comply Or Die, but The Package is very well weighted for a big run in the National. He is an improving novice and stays beyond three miles, and ran with credit to finish second to Chief Dan George at the Cheltenham Festival. Seven-year-olds have a poor record in this race though, and he looks a better bet for the Bet365 Gold Cup at 14/1 with Betfred.
14/1 Arbor Supreme
This horse is only 14/1 because of the ‘McCoy factor’, and AP isn’t even riding Arbor! This young Irish runner will be ridden by Paul Townend. Interesting jockey booking if this really is JP McManus’ best chance in the race.
16/1 Snowy Morning
Looked the likely winner in 2008, but finished a decent third on that occasion. Completed the course last year and has yet again been aimed at this race by trainer Willie Mullins. It is eyecatching that he only has to carry 10st13lb this year compared with a whopping 11st8lb last year.
18/1 Niche Market
Won last year’s Irish National, but didn’t run that well at Cheltenham last time out. Stamina is assured.
16/1 Character Building
Sold this week to Mr & Mrs Thompson, who run Cheveley Park Stud. Grey horses have a terrible record in the National but the same connections bought 1992 winner Party Politics just three days before the big race.
20/1 State of Play
Finished fourth in this last year, but his dismal run in the 2009 Hennessy is a bit worrying for me. A fresh horse nonetheless and may by punted on the day.
20/1 Tricky Trickster
Went up 3lbs for winning the Aon Chase at Newbury, but he ran a stinker in the Cheltenham Gold Cup when well-fancied to place at odds of 14/1. Has loads of stamina, but could something be amiss?
20/1 Don’t Push It
AP McCoy rides, so sure to be well-backed on the day by the housewives. Don’t Push It won at this meeting last year…
20/1 Vic Venturi
Won the Becher Chase last November, which has been won by previous National winners Silver Birch, Earth Summit & Amberleigh House over the years. Obvious chance.
25/1 Backstage
Won earlier on in the season at Ffos Las but needs the ground to dry out. Trainer could also have Silver Birch in the race.
20/1 Comply Or Die
Partnered by Timmy Murphy, Comply Or Die has finished first and second in his two Nationals. Something of a course specialist.
25/1 Can’t Buy Time
Doesn’t have much in the way of encouraging form.
28/1 Ballyholland
Trainer Colin McBratney is hopeful that his Irish raider will run well if the ground dries out a bit more.
33/1 Dream Alliance
Won Welsh National in 2009, can he do the double for his Welsh syndicate?
40/1 Cloudy Lane
The 2008 favourite has missed his best chance of winning this race.
40/1 Hello Bud
Has plenty of stamina but will be ridden by an inexperienced jockey. Sam Twiston-Davies is currently studying for his A-levels!
40/1 Irish Raptor
Won the Topham Chase last year at 8/1 for Nigel Twiston-Davies.
40/1 Maljimar
Horses that have won over three miles or further are at a great disadvantage, but Maljimar has had an interesting prep this season with this race in mind. Connections were devastated to miss out on last year’s race by just one place. He is guaranteed to travel strongly through the race if he jumps round, but stamina may find him out in the closing stages. One to back.
40/1 Kings John’s Castle
Finished second in 2008 and jockey Paul Carberry thinks he’s in good form.
40/1 My Will
Third last year at 8/1 for Ruby Walsh and Paul Nicholls but has had a poor season. Is 40/1 a big price? Didn’t excel in his Gold Cup prep as he did last year.
50/1 Eric’s Charm
Trainer hopeful of a ‘good show’ but Eric’s won’t be entirely suited by the track.
66/1 Madison Du Berlais
66/1 also in the 2008 National, but fell at the canal turn on that occasion. Has been a revelation since winning the 2008 Hennessy Gold Cup at Newbury for the David Pipe team, but unlikely to get involved under the burden of top weight.
66/1 Royal Rosa
66/1 Joe Lively
Has had a poor season by his standards.
66/1 Ballyfitz
My favourite of the long shots. Has had a mixed season of chasing and hurdling, but I can see him getting involved here at a big price.
66/1 Ellerslie George
Don’t think so.
66/1 Palypso De Creek
Another seven year old. Discount.
66/1 Flintoff
Part-owned by the cricketer Andrew Flintoff. Go with Mon Mome instead for the same trainer.
66/1 Cerium
Ran a blinder to finish fifth with a cracked skull at 100/1 last year.
66/1 Nozic
Likes really soft ground. Only positive is that he is partnered by last year’s winning jockey Liam Treadwell. Owned by Coral bookmakers and The Sun newspaper.
100/1 Beat The Boys
Dreadful form. Would be 1000/1 if a different trainer.
100/1 Preists Leap
Would only have a chance if this race was transferred to Gowran Park at the last minute!
100/1 Piraya
Light weight but David Pipe has better chances with Madison Du Berlais, The Package and finally Comply Or Die.
125/1 Made In Taipan
Doubtful stayer.
125/1 Ollie Magern
High class on his day, but prefers Wetherby as a track.
125/1 Conna Castle
Don’t bother wasting your money on this one.
150/1 Pablo Du Charmil
No hoper.
150/1 Knowhere
First reserve now.
Recommended Bets (both each way, 5 places):
1. Maljimar 40/1 (William Hill)
2. Snowy Morning 16/1 (Totesport, Corals, Canbet)
Aintree Grand National 2010 Betting Odds
Number of false starts betting odds
Jockey Specials
JP McManus Special
Winning Trainer Specials