Newcastle v Man City Betting Preview

A sensational weekend of betting, marred only by hard luck in the Chinese Grand Prix. Lewis Hamilton finally conquered his Asian demons, and is 1/7 to take the Drivers Championship. Even if Massa wins the Brazilian GP, Hamilton only needs to finish 5th. The Ferrari driver is 6/4 favourite with Ladbrokes for victory at Interlagos – a decent price for his home GP.

Alonso was a commendable 4th in Shanghai, not sufficient for our each way bet, but still rewarding for punters who back him at evens to win the grand prix with the ‘Big 6′. Bourdais shortened to evens for a points finsh after qualifying, but his race was over following an early incident with Jarno Trulli.

Our ante-post fancy for the Melbourne Cup is Mad Rush, backed at 16/1. Following an unlucky fourth in the Caulfield Cup on Saturday from a terrible draw, he has now been promoted to favoritism at 4/1! Let’s not forget that our biggest bet to date, Aidan O’Brien not to train 26 or more Group 1 winners in 2008, is doing very well. We backed it at evens, now William Hill go 1/4! The shake up comes after Rip Van Winkle flopped in the Dewhurst, heavily backed at 11/8.

Duke of Marmalade has been confirmed for the Breeders Cup Classic, in which he is 12/1. Johnny Murtagh will almost certainly ride the Duke, because 7/1 Henrythenavigator isn’t proven over the 1m2f trip. We told you 11 days ago that the Duke “cannot be backed at 4/1 in the Breeders’ Cup Turf given that he may opt for the Classic.” I cannot imagine that you will get 3/1 for Curlin on the day, so take it now at Ladbrokes. Our selection for the Breeders’ Cup Turf was 12/1 Winchester, although I backed him the following day at Ladbrokes at 14/1. He has shortened to 10/1, but is as short as 6/1 with some firms.

Meanwhile in tonight’s Premier League clash, Manchester City travel to Newcastle, who have lost their last three matches at St. James’ Park. Don’t be too impressed by Newcastle’s apparently ‘gutsy’ draw at Everton – Moyes’ side haven’t won at home in four tries. The form pick is certainly an away win, 6/4 this morning but now 11/8. The home side make little appeal at 23/10, so I’ll side with a Man City win. Even with Michael Owen missing due to a groin strain, I still think this will be a high scoring match.

Back over 2.5 goals at 5/6 with Stan James, because both teams have woeful defensive records. If asked to recommend a player in the First Goalscorer market, it would have to be a Man City player, as we are supporting them to win the Premier League without the Big 4. 6/1 Robinho and 7/1 Jo are obvious choices, but I’d prefer a bigger price for an each way selection. Shaun Wright-Phillips is 10/1, but I’ll take Stephen Ireland at a whopping 16/1.

Recommendation:

3pts 6/4 Massa to win the Brazilian GP

3pts 3/1 Curlin to win the Breeders’ Cup Classic

4pts 5/6 Over 2.5 goals Newcastle v Man City

1pt each way 16/1 Stephen Ireland to score first

bookies.com will enable you to find the best odds for all of the Breeders’ Cup Races and the forthcoming Champions League Fixtures.

Brazilian GP Winner Betting

F1 Drivers Championship Betting

Melbourne Cup Betting

Breeders Cup Turf Betting

Breeders Cup Classic Betting

Newcastle v Man City Match Result Betting