Tuesday Champions League Betting Preview
Referring to Septimus, ‘ I would certainly be laying the O’Brien horse’. The antepost favourite finished 18th out of 22 runners. Johnny Murtagh said afterwards, ‘ He might not be the right horse for the race’. Well Johnny, we knew on October 9 that the top weight was a listed-company horse. Mad Rush won our match bet with Septimus, finishing 7th, making the 1.9 on Betfair look silly. More impressive was 20/1 C’est La Guerre coming home for us in 3rd.
With only 4 more recognised Group 1 races this year, all taking place in Hong Kong in December, trainer Aidan O’Brien would have to win all of them just to equal the record. It is doubtful whether he’ll even have a runner given how lethargic the Ballydole team appear.
Tonight I will be leaving the Presidential Election alone, having already got on Obama at a juicy 4/6. Perhaps we would want to dutch McCain at 8/1 to guarantee a profit, but the polls only give him an 8% chance. The favourite-long shot bias may be coming into play, where punters wishfully forecast an upset and overbet the long shot, McCain in this instance. The fact that McCain has drifted like a barge out to 16/1 on Betfair is alarming, as the markets are usually more accurate than any polls. Some may wish to get involved in individual state betting, for example Missouri, where both candidates are 5/6.
Liverpool take on Atletico Madrid again tonight, in the feature match which will be televised on ITV1. The Reds can be backed at 8/13 with Boylesports, despite their loss at Tottenham on Saturday. Another cause for concern is that Liverpool have only won 2 out of 11 at home against Spanish opposition. Postives include their great European form and a possible return for star striker Fernando Torres.
In the last 30 minutes of the previous encounter, which ended 1-1, Atletico played very well. They have only failed to score twice in 15 games. Maybe I’m bitter about Liverpool throwing away my clean sheet bet against PSV, but I will have a small lay on the home side’s clean sheet tonight at 6/5. So laying to win 3 points, means I’m risking a 3.6 point loss. Expect the Atletico goal threats to come from Aguero and Forlan, both 10/1 to score first.
Elsewhere 1/9 Barcelona should run riot against Basle. Back them with a -2.5 goal start with Bet1128 at 881/1000. Unfortunately it won’t be a 1000 pointer to win 881, just the 2 points thanks. 10/11 Marseille really should beat PSV this time, although having let me down last week I won’t be having a wager. Both sides will need miracles to progress to the next round from this point.
Recommendation:
3.6pts Lay Liverpool Clean Sheet v Atletico to win 3pts
2pts 881/1000 Barcelona -2.5 Asian Handicap v Basle
bookies.com compares all the odds for the U.S. Presdiential Election and tonight’s Champions League fixutres
Liverpool v Atletico Match Betting
Liverpool v Atletico First Goalscorer Betting
Liverpool v Atletico Correct Score Betting
Liverpool v Atletico Clean Sheet Betting
Barcelona v Basle Match Betting
Barcelona v Basle Asian Handicap Betting
Anorthosis v Inter Match Betting
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