Bookies Blog

John Sergeant was subject to a monster gamble on Strictly Come Dancing, the 120/1 long shot a few weeks ago was as short as 8/1 with Ladbrokes this morning. The bookies can now breathe a sigh of relief as the contestant has decided to pull out.

All eyes on Glasgow this evening as Maradona‘s Argentina take on 5/1 Scotland. Argentina have the quality to brush the Scots aside, and the bookies are taking no chances and go 4/6. Tevez and Aguero will be up top for Argentina, and are 6/1 and 5/1 respectively in the first goalscorer market. Darren Fletcher and Kenny Miller are notable absentees for the Scots, but Barry Ferguson is back in the side.

On paper Argentina really should breeze this, and are 13/8 to win to nil. Optimists will be taking Paddy Power’s 16/5 that Argentina will win both halves, but I will be siding with the draw. Scotland’s last 3 home internationals have all been draws, whilst Argentina have drawn 4 of their last 5 away from home. Don’t get me wrong, both sides will be trying to win this, but bet365′s 11/4 for the draw is tempting.

Meanwhile England travel to Germany and have been terribly weak in the betting. Capello‘s side have won their last 4, but have been pushed out from 23/10 to 14/5 with the bookmakers. England will miss Gerrard, Lampard, Rooney, Ferdinand, Brown, Heskey and both Coles, but they should still be competitive. The England U21s proved that you shouldn’t desert a team simply because they are missing players.

Germany are missing Lahm, Ballack, Frings and Borowski and England haven’t lost against Germany away from home in the past 4 encounters. 6/5 is too short more me to bet on the home win, although I am a great believer in following the money. If Helmes starts up top for Germany, 9/1 would be a great price for him to score first. Alternatively, Klose always seems to come up with the goods for his country, but is short at 6/1.

Germany were unconvincing in their recent win over Wales, and I will take a chance that England can play out a draw. At least John Terry is starting, although he is 7/4 to be sustituted.

Recommendation:
2pts 11/4 Scotland v Argentina Draw

1pt Draw Double: Scotland v Argentina 11/4 & Germany v England 23/10

Strictly Come Dancing Winner Betting

Scotland v Argentina Match Betting

Scotland v Argentina First Goalscorer Betting

Scotland v Argentina To Win to Nil Betting

Scotland v Argentina To Win Both Halves Betting

Germany v England Match Betting

Germany v England First Goalscorer Betting

Germany v England Asian Handicap Betting