Betfair Chase Betting Preview
‘If Helmes starts up top for Germany, 9/1 would be a great price for him to score first.’ He scored.
‘The England U21s proved that you shouldn’t desert a team simply because they are missing players.’ You won’t be getting 14/5 from the bookies on an England victory anytime soon, home or away.
Get the lowdown on Saturday’s Betfair Chase at Haydock.
The race is unlikely to feature in the £5m monster Scoop6 jackpot this Saturday, but it is the best National Hunt races of the year. The Scoop6 races have yet to be decided, but should include action from Ascot, Haydock, Lingfield and Huntingdon. Totesport are offering 11/4 that the Scoop6 rolls over yet another weekend.
Saturday’s Betfair Chase is a Grade 1 affair, run over 3m and the ground is forecast to be good to soft. The betting all revolves around Kauto Star, just 2/5 to win it for a 3rd time on the trot. With only 7 possible runners, the each way terms are very bookmaker friendly. What that does mean is that we can study each horse in detail and see if we can find any antepost value.
SATURDAY 14.15 BBC2 BETFAIR CHASE 3M
2/5 Kauto Star (191)
Sam Thomas will be doing the steering on Saturday instead of the injured Ruby Walsh, but Thomas is more than capable, as shown by his ride on the same mount last year. It may even be that his riding style suits Kauto better, and it would be fascinating how Thomas does in the Gold Cup if Ruby opts to ride 6/4 Denman. Kauto needs no further introduction and will take all the beating. Still, at that price it won’t make you a fortune and I would’ve much rather taken the 10/11 up for grabs a few days ago.
10/3 Exotic Dancer (186)
Ran a blinder to finish 2nd to Knowhere at Aintree and is expected to finish 2nd to Kauto. The forecast bet won’t make you rich, and I’d be one to lay it. There should be a forecast market on the day of the race, and it will be odds on, just like Exotic Dancer in the place market. He finished half a length behind Kauto in this race last year, but 3/1 is way too short for a horse that was winless last term. With McCoy on board he may attract supporters before the off, in which case I’ll step in for a juicy lay.
20/1 Cloudy Lane (168)
Last year’s favourite for the National is in ‘good order’ and has won plenty of races at Haydock in the past. Opts for this race instead of the Hennessy, where he would’ve been top weight. Punters thought that stamina was his forte but he hasn’t excelled at anything over 3m4f. He’s interesting over this trip and likes the ground, but place prospects at best.
20/1 Tamarinbleu (177)
Won the Boylesports Gold Cup and Victor Chandler last season, but ran a stinker in the Champion Chase. Surpassed all of David Pipe’s expectations last season, but the trainer is suffering from slight dip in form. 20/1 is a fair price, and backers are taking a chance that he returns to his best when fresh.
22/1 Gungadu (169)
Will be running at Aintree on Sunday instead. Probably doesn’t want more than 3m, but if he takes to the big fences his 71/1 Grand National Odds will be trimmed.
25/1 Ollie Magern (172)
Beat Snoopy Loopy by 4 1/2 lengths last time out, and you’d fancy this NTD runner in a match bet.The trainer will be happy if he finishes the race, so another that’s easy to discount. Only a player if ’strange things happen’ and should make the running.
50/1 Snoopy Loopy (169)
The current leader in the Order of Merit, his trainer has said,’even if he finishes last, he’ll get some money and he’s in great form’. Hardly the most optimistic words from a trainer, but is he saying that just to get a bigger price? He was third to State of Play in the Charlie Hall, but that run came too soon after a run at Aintree. Snoopy wouldn’t stand a chance in handicaps, but I really don’t think he’ll finish last. That said there are more talented types in this race that can fill in the second place berth.
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