Huge Gamble on Rebecca Adlington!

Thomas — Fri, 05 Dec 2008 12:04:30 +0000

Wow! I have never seen anything like this before – Rebecca Adlington has been gambled in from 10/3 just a few days ago into 11/8. William Hill have reported several bets of up to £500, which has seen her price cave in. Hills were surprised at such incredible betting patterns, because the market is so mature.

We tipped Rebecca Adlington at 10/3 just 2 days ago here, saying that:

I can see her being popular with female voters, and her 2 medals represent an incredible triumph for Britain in the pool. She has had a swimming pool named after her in Mansfield, and I think that she deserves the BBC award on merit.

I have great respect for the money, and will be glad to see Adlington win BBC Sports Personality of the Year. So will a Betfair customer who put £4 on her at 999/1! Incidentally, Lewis Hamilton has been eased from 4/6 to 11/10.

Latest BBC Sports Personality of They Year Betting

BBC Sports Personality of the Year Betting Preview

Thomas — Wed, 03 Dec 2008 12:24:16 +0000

SENSATIONAL! We told you yesterday that 10/1 Brickfield Dream “should be more like a 5/1 chance” and that he “could make all for Ernie Gaskin”. He did just that and boosted our account with 12.5pts profit on the night!

We did well to swerve the Carling Cup last night because Burnely and Derby both caused upsets. Tonight there’s Watford v Spurs in the and Man U v Blackburn in the Carling Cup, neither of which are tempting. Punters have supported Blackburn from 13/2 into 11/2, but I won’t be having them. Nor will I take 4/5 on a Man City triumph against PSG, because of the Group A standings.

If the gossip at Bookies Blog Towers is anything to go by, the BBC Sports Personality of the Year Betting could hold some value. The bookies have it as a 3 horse race, and any winner other than the ones we’re featuring would go down as an incredible turn of events. Let’s have a look at the 3 markets principals:

4/6 Lewis Hamilton

Remember that this award isn’t about who you thought had the best sporting year, it’s ultimately a public vote. Lewis is the hot favourite this year, and Ladbrokes have reported 5-figure bets. The award was won by Damon Hill in 1994, even though he didn’t capture the Driver’s Championship. Lewis Hamilton has had a rough time of it this year, and has had to come through racism and barmy stewards’ decisions. He should receive plenty of votes across Britain for his title, not just from the petrol-heads.

10/3 Rebecca Adlington

The first British woman to win an Olympic Gold medal in the swimming pool since 1960, and she certainly has more ‘personality’ than Lewis. I can see her being popular with female voters, and her 2 medals represent an incredible triumph for Britain in the pool. She has had a swimming pool named after her in Mansfield, and I think that she deserves the BBC award on merit, as the Olympics only come every 4 years. After all, Hamilton is a tax evader and has the opportunity to win the drivers’ championship on a yearly basis.

5/1 Chris Hoy

The first Brit to win 3 gold medals at the Olympics since 1908, Chris Hoy was one of the main factors behind Britain’s gold rush last summer. Full credit to him for his achievements, but I cannot see a cyclist taking the award on 14 December. Let’s hope that he doesn’t split the Adlington’s Olympian vote, because it would play into Lewis’ hands.

Others nominated:

66/1 Joe Calzaghe

100/1 Andy Murray

200/1 Rebecca Romero

200/1 Christine Ohuruogu

200/1 Nicole Cook

250/1 Ben Ainslie

Recommendation:

I am tempted to lay Lewis Hamilton for small stakes at 1.7 on Betfair, but I’ll bet Adlington because I cannot see Chris Hoy winning.

1pt 10/3 Rebecca Adlington

bookies.com is a great source for comparing odds on specials markets, and there are plenty around at the moment:

BBC SPOTY Betting